1st Half Predictions
Data-driven 1st half goals predictions across 120+ leagues — each pick shows a probability, confidence score and Expected Value (EV%).
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Frequently Asked Questions — 1st Half Predictions
What are 1st half predictions?
1st half predictions are data-driven forecasts of how many goals will be scored before half-time, expressed as Over/Under lines (0.5, 1.5, 2.5). SmartBet calculates a probability for each line and compares it to bookmaker odds to surface where there's value. Browse today's 1st half predictions or filter by league.
How does SmartBet predict 1st half goals?
SmartBet estimates each team's scoring and conceding rate specifically in the first half from their last 5, 10 and 20 matches and home/away splits. Some teams consistently start fast while others are slow starters — the model captures this half-by-half pattern. See the football stats behind each pick.
What's the difference between 1st half and 2nd half predictions?
First-half predictions cover goals scored before the break, while second-half predictions cover goals after it. Second halves tend to produce more goals on average as teams tire and chase the game. See 2nd Half predictions.
Which 1st half lines does SmartBet cover?
SmartBet covers 1st half goals from Over/Under 0.5 to 2.5.
What is Expected Value (EV) on a 1st half bet?
Expected Value (EV%) measures the mathematical edge a bet has over the bookmaker, calculated as EV% = (probability x odds - 1) x 100. A positive EV means SmartBet's probability is higher than the odds imply, so the bet holds value over the long term — realistic edges sit in the +3% to +10% range.
Are 1st half predictions free?
Yes — SmartBet publishes 2 free halfs predictions every day, so you can sample 1st half picks before subscribing. The full slate is available on Premium. See SmartBet plans.
Which other half markets does SmartBet cover?
Beyond 1st half goals, SmartBet covers 2nd Half predictions. For both periods in one place, see halfs predictions.
How accurate are SmartBet's 1st half predictions?
No 1st half prediction is guaranteed — football is inherently unpredictable, and any service promising certainty is misleading you. SmartBet's edge is long-term Expected Value, not single-match certainty: treat each pick as a shortlisting layer, then validate it with the stats on the page. Past results are visible in the results view for full transparency.